Vinston Painter
G, Virginia Tech · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #173 (DEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 14 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2017 (~18%). Last NFL season: 2017.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #204 (#17 at his position), close to where he went (#173).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Virginia Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.95 40-yard dash at 306 lbs: faster than 94% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 14 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 306 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.95 s |
| Bench press | 32 reps |
| Vertical | 30.5" |
| Broad jump | 97" |
| 3-cone | 7.71 s |
| Shuttle | 4.56 s |
| Arm / hand | 34" / 9.7" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #204 overall (#17 G) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 170 | Eric Kush | redraft #120 |
| 171 | Corey Fuller | redraft #172 |
| 172 | Nick Kasa | redraft #207 |
| 174 | Ryan Swope | redraft #239 |
| 175 | Jamoris Slaughter | redraft #240 |
| 176 | David Quessenberry | redraft #79 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.