Trey McBride
TE, Colorado St. · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #55 (ARI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 65 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~96%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #46 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#55). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Colorado St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 72 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 29 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2.9 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 31.9 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 2 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 396 rec, 3,836 yds, 20 TD |
| Defense | 7 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 246 lbs |
| Bench press | 18 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| Arm / hand | 32.38" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #46 overall (#1 TE) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 52 | George Pickens | redraft #4 |
| 53 | Alec Pierce | redraft #32 |
| 54 | Skyy Moore | redraft #149 |
| 56 | Sam Williams | redraft #127 |
| 57 | Luke Goedeke | redraft #39 |
| 58 | Troy Andersen | redraft #146 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.