Terrell Manning
LB, North Carolina St. · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #163 (GNB)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 10 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2014 (~21%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #140 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#163).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
North Carolina St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.71 40-yard dash at 237 lbs: faster than 30% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
LB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 10 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 237 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.71 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 32.5" |
| Broad jump | 114" |
| 3-cone | 7.18 s |
| Shuttle | 4.43 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.2" / 9.2" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #140 overall (#10 LB) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 160 | Ryan Miller | redraft #198 |
| 161 | Randy Bullock | redraft #81 |
| 162 | Corey White | redraft #106 |
| 164 | Jonathan Massaquoi | redraft #140 |
| 165 | Darius Fleming | redraft #200 |
| 166 | Marvin Jones | redraft #26 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.