Tavon Austin
WR, West Virginia · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #8 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#8).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
West Virginia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.34 40-yard dash at 174 lbs: faster than 91% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 113 of ~145 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2021 (~78%). Last NFL season: 2021.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 113 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 26 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 199 att, 1,361 yds, 10 TD |
| Receiving | 244 rec, 2,239 yds, 16 TD |
| Defense | 3 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 174 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.34 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| Shuttle | 4.01 s |
| Arm / hand | 30" / 9.1" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#1 WR) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 5 | Ezekiel Ansah | redraft #36 |
| 6 | Barkevious Mingo | redraft #66 |
| 7 | Jonathan Cooper | redraft #91 |
| 9 | Dee Milliner | redraft #149 |
| 10 | Chance Warmack | redraft #68 |
| 11 | D.J. Fluker | redraft #27 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.