Tanner McLachlan
TE, Arizona · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #194 (CIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
25 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 2 of ~17 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2024 (~12%). Last NFL season: 2024.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #109 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #194: teams let him slide 85 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Arizona: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.61 40-yard dash at 244 lbs: faster than 82% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 2 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.0 |
| Last NFL season | 2024 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 244 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.61 s |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| Age at draft | 25 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #109 overall (#5 TE) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 191 | Tejhaun Palmer | redraft #239 |
| 192 | D.J. James | redraft #240 |
| 193 | Joe Milton | redraft #167 |
| 195 | Ryan Watts | redraft #244 |
| 196 | Tyler Davis | redraft #118 |
| 197 | Zion Logue | redraft #230 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.