Tanner McKee
QB, Stanford · 2023 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #188 (PHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 6 of ~51 possible regular-season games from 2023 through 2025 (~12%). Plus 1 game so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #219 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#188).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Stanford: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 7 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.5 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 2.5 |
| Passing | 80/133, 812 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | 14 att, 7 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 231 lbs |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 114" |
| 3-cone | 7.22 s |
| Shuttle | 4.41 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.88" / 9.38" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #219 overall (#11 QB) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 185 | Parker Washington | redraft #42 |
| 186 | Jaelyn Duncan | redraft #170 |
| 187 | Kayshon Boutte | redraft #77 |
| 189 | Ochaun Mathis | redraft #209 |
| 190 | Luke Wypler | redraft #157 |
| 191 | Trey Palmer | redraft #129 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.