Steve Williams
DB, California · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #145 (SDG)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 32 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2016 (~50%). Last NFL season: 2016.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #142 (#18 at his position), close to where he went (#145).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
California: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 181 lbs: faster than 77% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 32 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 4 |
| Defense | 45 tackles, 1 sacks, 2 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2016 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 9", 181 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 12 reps |
| Vertical | 40.5" |
| Broad jump | 128" |
| 3-cone | 6.89 s |
| Shuttle | 4.1 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.4" / 8.1" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #142 overall (#18 DB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 142 | Lavar Edwards | redraft #194 |
| 143 | Jonathan Meeks | redraft #179 |
| 144 | Kenny Stills | redraft #44 |
| 146 | Quanterus Smith | redraft #197 |
| 147 | Steven Means | redraft #100 |
| 148 | A.J. Klein | redraft #39 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.