Shonn Greene
RB, Iowa · 2009 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #65 (NYJ)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 85 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2009 through 2014 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #65 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#65).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Iowa: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 227 lbs: faster than 45% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 85 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 23 |
| Rushing | 993 att, 4,110 yds, 24 TD |
| Receiving | 72 rec, 534 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 227 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 7.1 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #65 overall (#5 RB) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 62 | Sen'Derrick Marks | redraft #59 |
| 63 | Cody Brown | redraft #231 |
| 64 | Richard Quinn | redraft #205 |
| 66 | Bradley Fletcher | redraft #66 |
| 67 | Alex Magee | redraft #178 |
| 68 | Jarron Gilbert | redraft #219 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.