Ryan Pickett
DT, Ohio St. · 2001 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #29 (STL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 207 of ~224 possible regular-season games from 2001 through 2014 (~92%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Ohio St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.10 40-yard dash at 309 lbs: faster than 18% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 207 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 13 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 58 |
| Defense | 386 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2001 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2001 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 309 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.10 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
Picked around him 2001 redraft
| 26 | Jamar Fletcher | redraft #115 |
| 27 | Michael Bennett | redraft #53 |
| 28 | Derrick Gibson | redraft #93 |
| 30 | Reggie Wayne | redraft #3 |
| 31 | Todd Heap | redraft #37 |
| 32 | Drew Brees | redraft #1 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.