Ron Johnson
WR, Minnesota · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #123 (BAL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Minnesota: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.70 40-yard dash at 225 lbs: faster than 1% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 22 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2003 (~69%). Last NFL season: 2003.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 22 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Receiving | 11 rec, 126 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2003 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 225 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.70 s |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.12 s |
| Shuttle | 4.02 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 120 | Terreal Bierria | redraft #132 |
| 121 | Alan Harper | redraft #185 |
| 122 | Darnell Sanders | redraft #176 |
| 124 | Scott Peters | redraft #194 |
| 125 | Keyuo Craver | redraft #169 |
| 126 | Jarvis Green | redraft #65 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.