Ricky Pearsall
WR, Florida · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #31 (SFO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 20 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2025 (~59%).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #35 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#31).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.41 40-yard dash at 189 lbs: faster than 74% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 20 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 8 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 8.0 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 5 att, 43 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 67 rec, 928 yds, 3 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 189 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.41 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 42" |
| Broad jump | 129" |
| 3-cone | 6.64 s |
| Shuttle | 4.05 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #35 overall (#9 WR) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 28 | Xavier Worthy | redraft #23 |
| 29 | Tyler Guyton | redraft #47 |
| 30 | Nate Wiggins | redraft #58 |
| 32 | Xavier Legette | redraft #74 |
| 33 | Keon Coleman | redraft #36 |
| 34 | Ladd McConkey | redraft #10 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.