Ricky Manning
DB, UCLA · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #82 (CAR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 84 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2008 (~88%). Last NFL season: 2008.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
UCLA: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.52 40-yard dash at 185 lbs: faster than 33% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 84 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 22 |
| Defense | 223 tackles, 4 sacks, 14 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2008 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 9", 185 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.52 s |
| Bench press | 12 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 7.11 s |
| Shuttle | 4.17 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 79 | Kenny Peterson | redraft #120 |
| 80 | Courtney Van Buren | redraft #164 |
| 81 | Derrick Dockery | redraft #38 |
| 83 | Sam Williams | redraft #108 |
| 84 | Chris Crocker | redraft #40 |
| 85 | B.J. Askew | redraft #159 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.