Reshad Jones
DB, Georgia · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #163 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #98 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #163: teams let him slide 65 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Georgia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.51 40-yard dash at 214 lbs: faster than 38% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 128 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2019 (~80%). Last NFL season: 2019.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 128 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 44 |
| Defense | 599 tackles, 10.5 sacks, 21 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2019 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 214 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.51 s |
| Bench press | 24 reps |
| Vertical | 39.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.43 s |
| Shuttle | 4.54 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #98 overall (#6 DB) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 160 | Larry Asante | redraft #184 |
| 161 | Chris DeGeare | redraft #179 |
| 162 | Brody Eldridge | redraft #212 |
| 164 | Crezdon Butler | redraft #183 |
| 165 | Kerry Meier | redraft #214 |
| 166 | Stevenson Sylvester | redraft #141 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.