Reid Fragel
OL, Ohio St. · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #240 (CIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 1 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2015 (~2%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #136 overall (#12 at his position), but he lasted until pick #240: teams let him slide 104 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Ohio St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.14 40-yard dash at 308 lbs: faster than 68% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
OL (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 1 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 308 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.14 s |
| Bench press | 33 reps |
| Vertical | 30" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 7.62 s |
| Shuttle | 4.68 s |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 10.5" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #136 overall (#12 OL) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 237 | B.J. Daniels | redraft #211 |
| 238 | Aaron Mellette | redraft #250 |
| 239 | David King | redraft #204 |
| 241 | Jared Smith | redraft #251 |
| 242 | Michael Bowie | redraft #166 |
| 243 | Kemal Ishmael | redraft #103 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.