Reggie McNeal
QB, Texas A&M · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #193 (CIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 7 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2006 (~44%). Last NFL season: 2006.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #146 overall (#10 at his position), but he lasted until pick #193: teams let him slide 47 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas A&M: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 99% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 7 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 8 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2006 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.40 s |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.96 s |
| Shuttle | 4.25 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #146 overall (#10 QB) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 190 | Jeff Webb | redraft #175 |
| 191 | Jeremy Mincey | redraft #76 |
| 192 | Marcus Hudson | redraft #156 |
| 194 | Bruce Gradkowski | redraft #136 |
| 195 | J.D. Runnels | redraft #222 |
| 196 | Kedric Golston | redraft #77 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.