Reggie Brown
WR, Georgia · 2005 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #35 (PHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #37 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#35).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Georgia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.45 40-yard dash at 196 lbs: faster than 57% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 72 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2005 through 2009 (~90%). Last NFL season: 2009.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 72 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 20 |
| Rushing | 11 att, 68 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 177 rec, 2,574 yds, 17 TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2009 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 196 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.45 s |
| Vertical | 41.5" |
| Broad jump | 128" |
| 3-cone | 6.99 s |
| Shuttle | 3.94 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #37 overall (#6 WR) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 32 | Logan Mankins | redraft #2 |
| 33 | David Baas | redraft #52 |
| 34 | Brodney Pool | redraft #69 |
| 36 | Barrett Ruud | redraft #36 |
| 37 | Shaun Cody | redraft #65 |
| 38 | Stanford Routt | redraft #79 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.