Pierre Garcon
WR, Mount Union · 2008 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #205 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Mount Union: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 148 of ~176 possible regular-season games from 2008 through 2018 (~84%). Last NFL season: 2018.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 148 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 54 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 12 att, 72 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 628 rec, 7,854 yds, 38 TD |
| Defense | 7 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 125" |
| 3-cone | 6.9 s |
| Shuttle | 4.19 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 202 | Mike Hart | redraft #162 |
| 203 | Andy Studebaker | redraft #113 |
| 204 | Lex Hilliard | redraft #157 |
| 206 | Haruki Nakamura | redraft #118 |
| 207 | Matt Sherry | redraft #244 |
| 208 | Ervin Baldwin | redraft #218 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.