Pat Watkins
DB, Florida St. · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #138 (DAL)
Pre-draft profile Patterns
He landed exactly where a #138 pick typically does.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #78 overall (#7 at his position), but he lasted until pick #138: teams let him slide 60 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 211 lbs: faster than 77% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 53 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2010 (~66%). Last NFL season: 2010.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 53 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 6 |
| Defense | 104 tackles, 0 sacks, 4 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 211 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 41" |
| Broad jump | 133" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #78 overall (#7 DB) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 135 | Rob Ninkovich | redraft #31 |
| 136 | Ryan O'Callaghan | redraft #123 |
| 137 | Terna Nande | redraft #224 |
| 139 | Quinn Ojinnaka | redraft #122 |
| 140 | Parys Haralson | redraft #54 |
| 141 | Jonathan Scott | redraft #101 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.