Olabisi Johnson
WR, Colorado St. · 2019 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #247 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 32 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2019 through 2020 (~100%). Last NFL season: 2020.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #224 (#28 at his position), close to where he went (#247). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Colorado St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.51 40-yard dash at 204 lbs: faster than 33% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 32 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 5 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 5.0 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 6 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 45 rec, 483 yds, 3 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 204 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.51 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 38" |
| Broad jump | 124" |
| 3-cone | 6.88 s |
| Shuttle | 4.16 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.13" / 10.38" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #224 overall (#28 WR) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 244 | Kaden Elliss | redraft #52 |
| 245 | Chris Slayton | redraft #254 |
| 246 | Javon Patterson | redraft #235 |
| 248 | Joshua Miles | redraft #186 |
| 249 | Michael Dogbe | redraft #159 |
| 250 | Austin Cutting | redraft #184 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.