Mike Brown
DB, Nebraska · 2000 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #39 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Nebraska: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.59 40-yard dash at 204 lbs: faster than 13% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 116 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2000 through 2009 (~73%). Last NFL season: 2009.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 116 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 57 |
| Defense | 510 tackles, 7 sacks, 20 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2009 |
The 2000 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2000 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 204 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.59 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 116" |
| 3-cone | 6.93 s |
| Shuttle | 4.01 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2000 redraft
| 36 | Todd Pinkston | redraft #72 |
| 37 | Travis Claridge | redraft #76 |
| 38 | Marvel Smith | redraft #34 |
| 40 | Ian Gold | redraft #42 |
| 41 | Raynoch Thompson | redraft #86 |
| 42 | Cornelius Griffin | redraft #16 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.