Matthew Hibner
TE, SMU · 2026 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #133 (BAL)
Early read Live board
Too early for a verdict. The live 2026 board blends draft slot with games played so far (6.6 weeks in), so rookies move as production comes in.
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #180 overall (#16 TE) |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| School | SMU (Power conference) |
| Combine | Invited · 4.57 40 |
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 251 lbs |
Pre-draft data: ESPN draft profile, nflverse draft & combine data. Fields we couldn't source are left out.
Pre-draft signals All patterns
How players with the same pre-draft traits have done against their draft slot, 2000–2021 NFL classes. 50% = a typical pick.
| Age at draft 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Draft slot vs. ESPN pre-draft rank Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 |
Estimate: 30% chance he beats his draft slot (typical pick: 50%). From a simple logistic model on age, school tier and position only; it ranks past picks only modestly better than a coin flip (AUC 0.60), so treat it as a lean, not a forecast. Method
2026 class right now: pick vs. live board
Board updated Oct 26, 2026, 4:03 PM MDT.
Picked around him 2026 redraft
| 130 | Trey Moore | now #210 |
| 131 | Genesis Smith | now #46 |
| 132 | Jeremiah Wright | now #161 |
| 134 | Kendal Daniels | now #41 |
| 135 | Bryce Boettcher | now #93 |
| 136 | Bryce Lance | now #68 |
How this page works: methodology · Patterns behind the signals: What the drafts missed