Malik Jackson
DT, Tennessee · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #137 (DEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 142 of ~161 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2021 (~88%). Last NFL season: 2021.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #186 (#20 at his position); he went #137, 49 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Tennessee: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.85 40-yard dash at 284 lbs: faster than 60% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 142 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 5 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 45 |
| Defense | 206 tackles, 35.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 284 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.85 s |
| Bench press | 25 reps |
| Vertical | 28" |
| Broad jump | 105" |
| 3-cone | 7.38 s |
| Shuttle | 4.41 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.6" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #186 overall (#20 DT) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 134 | Greg Childs | redraft #233 |
| 135 | Matt Johnson | redraft #234 |
| 136 | Josh Chapman | redraft #135 |
| 138 | Tahir Whitehead | redraft #44 |
| 139 | Robert Blanton | redraft #123 |
| 140 | Najee Goode | redraft #122 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.