Lorenzo Doss
CB, Tulane · 2015 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #164 (DEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 16 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2015 through 2018 (~25%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #185 (#23 at his position), close to where he went (#164).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Tulane: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.50 40-yard dash at 182 lbs: faster than 42% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
CB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 16 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 6 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 182 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.50 s |
| Bench press | 9 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 7.2 s |
| Shuttle | 4.26 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #185 overall (#23 CB) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 161 | Neiron Ball | redraft #194 |
| 162 | Kenny Bell | redraft #237 |
| 163 | Ryan Russell | redraft #162 |
| 165 | Bradley Pinion | redraft #94 |
| 166 | Joe Cardona | redraft #119 |
| 167 | Damian Swann | redraft #192 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.