Logan Stenberg
G, Kentucky · 2020 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #121 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 25 of ~50 possible regular-season games from 2020 through 2022 (~50%). Last NFL season: 2022.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #143 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#121).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Kentucky: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.30 40-yard dash at 317 lbs: faster than 28% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 25 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 3 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 3.0 |
| Last NFL season | 2022 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 317 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.30 s |
| Vertical | 26" |
| Broad jump | 104" |
| 3-cone | 8 s |
| Shuttle | 4.83 s |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 10.25" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #143 overall (#7 G) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 118 | Albert Okwuegbunam | redraft #153 |
| 119 | Mykal Walker | redraft #92 |
| 120 | La'Mical Perine | redraft #185 |
| 122 | Jacob Eason | redraft #240 |
| 123 | Reggie Robinson II | redraft #235 |
| 124 | Anthony McFarland Jr. | redraft #211 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.