Kyshoen Jarrett
S, Virginia Tech · 2015 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #181 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 16 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2015 through 2015 (~100%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #307 (#22 at his position); he went #181, 126 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Virginia Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.57 40-yard dash at 200 lbs: faster than 18% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
S (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 16 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 3 |
| Defense | 39 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 200 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.57 s |
| Bench press | 21 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 109" |
| 3-cone | 6.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #307 overall (#22 S) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 178 | Matthew Wells | redraft #239 |
| 179 | Max Valles | redraft #240 |
| 180 | Michael Bennett | redraft #188 |
| 182 | Tevin Mitchel | redraft #241 |
| 183 | Tayo Fabuluje | redraft #213 |
| 184 | Kaelin Clay | redraft #174 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.