Kyle Williams
WR, Washington St. · 2025 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #69 (NWE)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
The 2025 class is only 1 season in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #68 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#69).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Washington St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at 190 lbs: faster than 77% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 16 of ~17 possible regular-season games from 2025 through 2025 (~94%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 23 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 3.0 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 3 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 16 rec, 356 yds, 4 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2025 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2025 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 190 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.40 s |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 119" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #68 overall (#10 WR) |
Picked around him 2025 redraft
| 66 | Ashton Gillotte | redraft #73 |
| 67 | Harold Fannin | redraft #33 |
| 68 | Darien Porter | redraft #59 |
| 70 | Isaac TeSlaa | redraft #91 |
| 71 | Vernon Broughton | redraft #154 |
| 72 | Landon Jackson | redraft #195 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.