Kyle Williams
DT, LSU · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #134 (BUF)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #77 overall (#8 at his position), but he lasted until pick #134: teams let him slide 57 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 183 of ~208 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2018 (~88%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
LSU: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
No NFL Combine invite on record (nflverse combine data), so teams had less verified testing on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 49% of the time (905 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 183 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 11 |
| Pro Bowls | 6 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 79 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 1 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 9 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 387 tackles, 48.5 sacks, 1 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine No Combine invite | 49.0% n=905 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 299 lbs |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #77 overall (#8 DT) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 131 | Willie Colon | redraft #49 |
| 132 | P.J. Daniels | redraft #230 |
| 133 | Orien Harris | redraft #198 |
| 135 | Rob Ninkovich | redraft #31 |
| 136 | Ryan O'Callaghan | redraft #123 |
| 137 | Terna Nande | redraft #224 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.