Kyle Rudolph
TE, Notre Dame · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #43 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 165 of ~194 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2022 (~85%). Last NFL season: 2022.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #30 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#43).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Notre Dame: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.83 40-yard dash at 259 lbs: faster than 18% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 165 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 36 |
| Receiving | 482 rec, 4,773 yds, 50 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2022 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 259 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.83 s |
| Arm / hand | 3" / 10.6" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #30 overall (#1 TE) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 40 | Bruce Carter | redraft #75 |
| 41 | Jarvis Jenkins | redraft #69 |
| 42 | Brooks Reed | redraft #39 |
| 44 | Titus Young | redraft #118 |
| 45 | Rahim Moore | redraft #74 |
| 46 | Orlando Franklin | redraft #35 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.