Kyle Long
G, Oregon · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #20 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position. Details below.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #26 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oregon: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.91 40-yard dash at 313 lbs: faster than 97% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 77 of ~112 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2019 (~69%). Last NFL season: 2019.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 77 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 3 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 40 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, -1 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2019 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 313 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.91 s |
| Vertical | 28" |
| Broad jump | 107" |
| 3-cone | 7.83 s |
| Shuttle | 4.63 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.3" / 11" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #26 overall (#3 G) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 17 | Jarvis Jones | redraft #85 |
| 18 | Eric Reid | redraft #47 |
| 19 | Justin Pugh | redraft #25 |
| 21 | Tyler Eifert | redraft #80 |
| 22 | Desmond Trufant | redraft #37 |
| 23 | Sharrif Floyd | redraft #106 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.