Kerwynn Williams
RB, Utah St. · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #230 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #165 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #230: teams let him slide 65 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Utah St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 195 lbs: faster than 65% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 40 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2017 (~50%). Last NFL season: 2017.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 40 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 6 |
| Rushing | 218 att, 971 yds, 4 TD |
| Receiving | 15 rec, 126 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 6 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 195 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.15 s |
| Shuttle | 4.15 s |
| Arm / hand | 29.6" / 9.1" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #165 overall (#11 RB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 227 | Garrett Gilkey | redraft #188 |
| 228 | Jawan Jamison | redraft #248 |
| 229 | Everett Dawkins | redraft #230 |
| 231 | Ty Powell | redraft #203 |
| 232 | Sam Barrington | redraft #161 |
| 233 | David Bass | redraft #130 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.