Keith Williams
G, Nebraska · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #196 (PIT)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 2 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2012 (~6%). Last NFL season: 2012.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #201 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#196).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Nebraska: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.28 40-yard dash at 318 lbs: faster than 33% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 2 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Last NFL season | 2012 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 318 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.28 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 24.5" |
| Broad jump | 93" |
| 3-cone | 8.42 s |
| Shuttle | 5.03 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.29" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #201 overall (#10 G) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 193 | Brian Rolle | redraft #128 |
| 194 | Markell Carter | redraft #238 |
| 195 | J.T. Thomas | redraft #102 |
| 197 | Ricky Elmore | redraft #239 |
| 198 | Tyler Sash | redraft #189 |
| 199 | Jerrell Powe | redraft #141 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.