Jonathon Brooks
RB, Texas · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #46 (CAR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Availability
Played 3 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2025 (~9%). Plus 2 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #42 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#46).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 5 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.2 |
| Rushing | 18 att, 52 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 5 rec, 66 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 216 lbs |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #42 overall (#1 RB) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 43 | Max Melton | redraft #103 |
| 44 | Jackson Powers-Johnson | redraft #85 |
| 45 | Edgerrin Cooper | redraft #48 |
| 47 | Tyler Nubin | redraft #55 |
| 48 | Maason Smith | redraft #104 |
| 49 | Kris Jenkins | redraft #94 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.