Jonathan Dowling
DB, Western Kentucky · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #247 (OAK)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 7 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2014 (~44%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Western Kentucky: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.52 40-yard dash at 190 lbs: faster than 33% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 7 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 190 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.52 s |
| Bench press | 8 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.04 s |
| Shuttle | 4.24 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.1" / 9.2" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 244 | Jeremy Gallon | redraft #251 |
| 245 | Trey Millard | redraft #252 |
| 246 | Charles Leno Jr. | redraft #20 |
| 248 | Ahmad Dixon | redraft #219 |
| 249 | Michael Sam | redraft #253 |
| 250 | Demetrius Rhaney | redraft #174 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.