John Henderson
DT, Tennessee · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #9 (JAX)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 146 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2011 (~91%). Last NFL season: 2011.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Tennessee: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.87 40-yard dash at 308 lbs: faster than 56% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 146 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 64 |
| Defense | 382 tackles, 29 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2011 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 308 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.87 s |
| Bench press | 24 reps |
| Vertical | 27.5" |
| Broad jump | 110" |
| 3-cone | 7.71 s |
| Shuttle | 4.66 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 6 | Ryan Sims | redraft #77 |
| 7 | Bryant McKinnie | redraft #8 |
| 8 | Roy Williams | redraft #12 |
| 10 | Levi Jones | redraft #36 |
| 11 | Dwight Freeney | redraft #3 |
| 12 | Wendell Bryant | redraft #149 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.