Jaylen Wright
RB, Tennessee · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #120 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #97 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#120).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Tennessee: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 92% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 24 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2025 (~71%). Plus 5 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 29 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 4 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.4 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 4.4 |
| Rushing | 152 att, 565 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 8 rec, 52 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.38 s |
| Vertical | 38" |
| Broad jump | 134" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #97 overall (#5 RB) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 117 | Tanor Bortolini | redraft #34 |
| 118 | Tyrice Knight | redraft #59 |
| 119 | Mason McCormick | redraft #18 |
| 121 | AJ Barner | redraft #61 |
| 122 | Tory Taylor | redraft #97 |
| 123 | Cade Stover | redraft #145 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.