Jarret Johnson
DE, Alabama · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #109 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 184 of ~192 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2014 (~96%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Alabama: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.07 40-yard dash at 284 lbs: faster than 24% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 184 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 55 |
| Defense | 368 tackles, 25.5 sacks, 3 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 284 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.07 s |
| Bench press | 21 reps |
| Vertical | 28.5" |
| Broad jump | 107" |
| 3-cone | 7.72 s |
| Shuttle | 4.58 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 106 | Shaun McDonald | redraft #87 |
| 107 | DeJuan Groce | redraft #123 |
| 108 | Quentin Griffin | redraft #142 |
| 110 | Seneca Wallace | redraft #105 |
| 111 | Terrence McGee | redraft #29 |
| 112 | Matt Wilhelm | redraft #91 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.