Jared Wiley
TE, TCU · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #131 (KAN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 12 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2025 (~35%).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #118 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#131).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
TCU: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.62 40-yard dash at 249 lbs: faster than 79% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 12 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.0 |
| Receiving | 2 rec, 11 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 249 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.62 s |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.19 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #118 overall (#7 TE) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 128 | Ray Davis | redraft #56 |
| 129 | Isaac Guerendo | redraft #126 |
| 130 | T.J. Tampa | redraft #180 |
| 132 | Sione Vaki | redraft #170 |
| 133 | Jaden Hicks | redraft #101 |
| 134 | Braelon Allen | redraft #98 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.