Jalen Graham
S, Purdue · 2023 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #255 (SFO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Availability
Played 14 of ~51 possible regular-season games from 2023 through 2025 (~27%). Plus 2 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #273 (#20 at his position), close to where he went (#255).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Purdue: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.64 40-yard dash at 220 lbs: faster than 4% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
S (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 16 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 0.1 |
| Defense | 7 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 220 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.64 s |
| Vertical | 30.5" |
| Broad jump | 112" |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 9.88" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #273 overall (#20 S) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 252 | Alex Austin | redraft #175 |
| 253 | Ronnie Bell | redraft #202 |
| 254 | Gervarrius Owens | redraft #239 |
| 256 | Grant Dubose | redraft #245 |
| 257 | Alex Forsyth | redraft #150 |
| 258 | Kendall Williamson | redraft #197 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.