Jake Andrews
OL, Troy · 2023 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #107 (NWE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
OL (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #242 (#9 at his position); he went #107, 135 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Troy: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.15 40-yard dash at 305 lbs: faster than 66% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 31 of ~51 possible regular-season games from 2023 through 2025 (~61%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 38 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 7 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 7.1 |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 305 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.15 s |
| Vertical | 26" |
| Broad jump | 102" |
| Shuttle | 4.73 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.88" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #242 overall (#9 OL) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 104 | Jakorian Bennett | redraft #132 |
| 105 | Kelee Ringo | redraft #120 |
| 106 | Blake Freeland | redraft #130 |
| 108 | Anthony Bradford | redraft #53 |
| 109 | Dylan Horton | redraft #165 |
| 110 | Adetomiwa Adebawore | redraft #109 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.