Jack Conklin
T, Michigan St. · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #8 (TEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
T (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #7 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#8).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Michigan St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.00 40-yard dash at 308 lbs: faster than 89% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 114 of ~165 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2025 (~69%).
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 114 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 2 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 55 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 55.0 |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 308 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.00 s |
| Bench press | 25 reps |
| Vertical | 30" |
| Broad jump | 103" |
| 3-cone | 7.63 s |
| Shuttle | 4.57 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #7 overall (#3 T) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 5 | Jalen Ramsey | redraft #6 |
| 6 | Ronnie Stanley | redraft #11 |
| 7 | DeForest Buckner | redraft #8 |
| 9 | Leonard Floyd | redraft #15 |
| 10 | Eli Apple | redraft #67 |
| 11 | Vernon Hargreaves III | redraft #93 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.