Geremy Davis
WR, Connecticut · 2015 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #186 (NYG)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 36 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2015 through 2019 (~45%). Last NFL season: 2019.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #200 (#31 at his position), close to where he went (#186).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Connecticut: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.49 40-yard dash at 216 lbs: faster than 41% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 36 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Receiving | 5 rec, 59 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 11 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2019 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 216 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.49 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 124" |
| 3-cone | 6.86 s |
| Shuttle | 4.18 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #200 overall (#31 WR) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 183 | Tayo Fabuluje | redraft #213 |
| 184 | Kaelin Clay | redraft #174 |
| 185 | Tyrus Thompson | redraft #242 |
| 187 | Evan Spencer | redraft #226 |
| 188 | Tony Steward | redraft #193 |
| 189 | Charles Gaines | redraft #195 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.