Ed Reed
DB, Miami (FL) · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #24 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 174 of ~192 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2013 (~91%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Miami (FL): a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.57 40-yard dash at 201 lbs: faster than 18% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 174 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 11 |
| Pro Bowls | 9 |
| First-team All-Pro | 5 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 102 |
| Defense | 534 tackles, 6 sacks, 64 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 201 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.57 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 21 | Daniel Graham | redraft #86 |
| 22 | Bryan Thomas | redraft #22 |
| 23 | Napoleon Harris | redraft #58 |
| 25 | Charles Grant | redraft #26 |
| 26 | Lito Sheppard | redraft #23 |
| 27 | Mike Rumph | redraft #125 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.