Dustin Colquitt
P, Tennessee · 2005 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #99 (KAN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
P (ST group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68% of the time (97 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 255 of ~273 possible regular-season games from 2005 through 2021 (~93%). Last NFL season: 2021.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #127 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#99). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Tennessee: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.88 40-yard dash at 211 lbs: faster than 44% of STs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 255 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 24 |
| Passing | 1/2, 6 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 3 att, -3 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 8 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position ST | 68.0% n=97 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 211 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.88 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #127 overall (#1 P) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 96 | Brandon Jones | redraft #111 |
| 97 | Domonique Foxworth | redraft #92 |
| 98 | LeRoy Hill | redraft #46 |
| 100 | Nick Kaczur | redraft #47 |
| 101 | Maurice Clarett | redraft #225 |
| 102 | Sean Considine | redraft #100 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.