Derek Fine
TE, Kansas · 2008 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #132 (BUF)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
25 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 18 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2008 through 2009 (~56%). Last NFL season: 2009.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Kansas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.83 40-yard dash at 251 lbs: faster than 18% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 18 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| Receiving | 19 rec, 158 yds, 1 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2009 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 251 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.83 s |
| Bench press | 24 reps |
| Vertical | 29" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 6.8 s |
| Shuttle | 4.19 s |
| Age at draft | 25 |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 129 | Jonathan Wilhite | redraft #116 |
| 130 | Tony Hills | redraft #166 |
| 131 | Jack Ikegwuonu | redraft #225 |
| 133 | David Hale | redraft #180 |
| 134 | Stanford Keglar | redraft #164 |
| 135 | Josh Sitton | redraft #6 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.