Darius Alexander
DT, Toledo · 2025 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #65 (NYG)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age. Details below.
The 2025 class is only 1 season in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
25 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #29 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #65: teams let him slide 36 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Toledo: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.95 40-yard dash at 305 lbs: faster than 41% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 15 of ~17 possible regular-season games from 2025 through 2025 (~88%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 21 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 3.2 |
| Defense | 12 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2025 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2025 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 305 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.95 s |
| Bench press | 28 reps |
| Vertical | 31.5" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 7.6 s |
| Shuttle | 4.79 s |
| Age at draft | 25 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #29 overall (#5 DT) |
Picked around him 2025 redraft
| 62 | Shemar Turner | redraft #209 |
| 63 | Omarr Norman-Lott | redraft #189 |
| 64 | Andrew Mukuba | redraft #52 |
| 66 | Ashton Gillotte | redraft #73 |
| 67 | Harold Fannin | redraft #33 |
| 68 | Darien Porter | redraft #59 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.