Dan O'Leary
TE, Notre Dame · 2001 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #195 (BUF)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 17 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2001 through 2002 (~53%). Last NFL season: 2002.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Notre Dame: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.02 40-yard dash at 252 lbs: faster than 1% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 17 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2002 |
The 2001 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2001 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 252 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.02 s |
| Bench press | 16 reps |
| Vertical | 32" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 7.4 s |
| Shuttle | 4.31 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
Picked around him 2001 redraft
| 192 | Dan Alexander | redraft #207 |
| 193 | Jason Doering | redraft #139 |
| 194 | Joe Maese | redraft #127 |
| 196 | Jimmy Williams | redraft #116 |
| 197 | Francis St. Paul | redraft #237 |
| 198 | David Martin | redraft #101 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.