Da'Norris Searcy
DB, North Carolina · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #100 (BUF)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 109 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2018 (~85%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #176 (#12 at his position); he went #100, 76 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
North Carolina: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 223 lbs: faster than 24% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 109 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 24 |
| Defense | 240 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 8 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 223 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| 3-cone | 6.87 s |
| Shuttle | 4.09 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.4" / 9.399" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #176 overall (#12 DB) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 97 | Sione Fua | redraft #137 |
| 98 | Brandon Hogan | redraft #224 |
| 99 | K.J. Wright | redraft #17 |
| 101 | Clint Boling | redraft #31 |
| 102 | Jordan Cameron | redraft #92 |
| 103 | Sam Acho | redraft #52 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.