Chuba Hubbard
RB, Oklahoma St. · 2021 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #126 (CAR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 78 of ~85 possible regular-season games from 2021 through 2025 (~92%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #150 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#126). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oklahoma St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 65% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 84 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 27 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2.1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 29.1 |
| Rushing | 978 att, 4,112 yds, 27 TD |
| Receiving | 162 rec, 1,057 yds, 7 TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2021 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2021 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| 3-cone | 7.24 s |
| Shuttle | 4.26 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #150 overall (#9 RB) |
Picked around him 2021 redraft
| 123 | Zech McPhearson | redraft #176 |
| 124 | John Bates | redraft #126 |
| 125 | Camryn Bynum | redraft #33 |
| 127 | Kylen Granson | redraft #122 |
| 128 | Dan Moore | redraft #17 |
| 129 | Jaelon Darden | redraft #212 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.