Chris Luzar
TE, Virginia · 2002 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #118 (JAX)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Virginia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.76 40-yard dash at 270 lbs: faster than 39% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 23 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2002 through 2003 (~72%). Last NFL season: 2003.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 23 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Receiving | 4 rec, 35 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2003 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 270 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.76 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 32.5" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 6.84 s |
| Shuttle | 4.17 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 115 | Tony Beckham | redraft #138 |
| 116 | Martin Bibla | redraft #160 |
| 117 | Rohan Davey | redraft #211 |
| 119 | Travis Stephens | redraft #224 |
| 120 | Terreal Bierria | redraft #132 |
| 121 | Alan Harper | redraft #185 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.