Chris Godwin
WR, Penn St. · 2017 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #84 (TAM)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #106 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#84). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Penn St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 209 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 119 of ~149 possible regular-season games from 2017 through 2025 (~80%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 126 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 53 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2.6 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 55.6 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 16 att, 92 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 635 rec, 7,842 yds, 41 TD |
| Defense | 8 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 209 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 126" |
| 3-cone | 7.01 s |
| Shuttle | 4 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #106 overall (#11 WR) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 81 | Fabian Moreau | redraft #86 |
| 82 | Carlos Henderson | redraft #232 |
| 83 | Derek Rivers | redraft #171 |
| 85 | Antonio Garcia | redraft #233 |
| 86 | Kareem Hunt | redraft #22 |
| 87 | Davis Webb | redraft #201 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.